Dead and Dying in the Iowa Caucuses – Who Survives?
Unless you’re one of the losers. Which is pretty much everyone but Romney.
I’ll do a post shortly on how Romney played the field and the media to win Iowa, but first let’s make some guesses as to who is still around after Tuesday.
Michele Bachmann: Gone. It’s ironic that the all-so-(un)important Iowa straw poll in August was won by someone who is desperately trying to save face by not coming in last in the Iowa caucuses. Last. Jon Huntsman might even beat here, and he isn’t even competing in Iowa, having openly written them off to focus on the 2016 New Hampshire primary. Bachmann’s money will complete its evaporation as soon as the Iowa voting is done, and she has already had virtually all of her important staffers jump ship. Her goal right now is to figure out how to get out of the race with the right rhetoric to keep her in the running for re-election in her Congressional race (unlike Ron Paul, Bachmann decided to run for both President and Congresswoman of Minnesota at the same time…now there is a commitment for you).
Who else is out? Probably everyone but Romney in short shrift. But for now we’ll likely see Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry and Jon Huntsman stay in until after they all lose in New Hampshire. Some will bow out after that due to lack of money and interest. The others will wait until they lose to Mitt in South Carolina.
Oh wait, I’m writing as if Romney will win Iowa.
More on that later.